Gnistan vs FF Jaro Pietarsaari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
3º
1º
21
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gnistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 2
GNI
23%
23%
53%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GNI
2 - 1
KPV
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MIK
0 - 0
GNI
42%
25%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GNI
0 - 3
TPS
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
FFJ
2 - 2
GNI
35%
25%
41%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FF Jaro Pietarsaari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FFJ
3 - 0
HIF
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FFJ
1 - 1
JAP
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KPV
1 - 1
FFJ
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FFJ
0 - 2
MIK
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
FFJ
2 - 2
GNI
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |