Gmundner Milch vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gmundner Milch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ASV
1 - 0
GMU
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
GMU
3 - 0
BAD
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GRI
1 - 1
GMU
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
GMU
2 - 0
UNP
73%
15%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
OED
2 - 0
GMU
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BAD
4 - 1
MAR
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
UNP
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
4 - 1
MAR
45%
21%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 2
DON
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NEU
1 - 2
MAR
37%
22%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |