Gloucester City vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 1
GLO
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
GLO
0 - 2
BIS
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
GLO
1 - 2
NUN
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GLO
2 - 2
HIN
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
WHI
3 - 2
GLO
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 1
GLO
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
WOR
46%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
HIN
2 - 3
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 2
HYD
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 1
TOW
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |