Gloucester City vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GLO
5 - 2
TOW
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
GLO
0 - 2
OXF
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BOS
2 - 0
GLO
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
HIS
1 - 3
GLO
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 0
STA
55%
22%
22%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VAU
0 - 5
GUI
17%
21%
63%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
VAU
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 0
VAU
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VAU
1 - 3
STA
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
LEA
0 - 1
VAU
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |