Gloucester City vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
BOS
4 - 0
GLO
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
GLO
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
GLO
0 - 0
ALT
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GLO
0 - 2
TOW
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
GLO
1 - 2
HAL
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
HAL
7 - 0
HIN
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 2
GAI
13%
20%
68%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
DRO
3 - 2
HIN
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HIN
1 - 1
WOR
17%
22%
62%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BIS
1 - 1
HIN
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |