Gloucester City vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GLO
4 - 2
KID
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 2
GAI
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
HED
2 - 2
GLO
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 0
GLO
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 3
FYL
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 1
TOW
46%
27%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TOW
0 - 3
NUN
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
TOW
3 - 3
NOR
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 4
TOW
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 0
TOW
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |