Gloucester City vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 2
GLO
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
2 - 4
GLO
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GLO
1 - 0
BRA
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GLO
0 - 2
HAL
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
HEM
2 - 0
GLO
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
WES
1 - 1
CUR
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 2
GAI
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 1
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
CUR
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
CUR
2 - 1
YOR
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |