Gloucester City vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HAM
0 - 1
GLO
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
SLO
1 - 2
GLO
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GLO
1 - 2
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 0
BAT
15%
23%
63%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
OXF
0 - 1
GLO
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CHM
1 - 0
EAS
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GUL
3 - 1
CHM
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHM
4 - 1
HUN
76%
15%
8%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
DUL
1 - 3
CHM
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 1
DAR
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |