Gloucester City vs Alfreton Town analysis

Gloucester City Alfreton Town
43 ELO 50
1.1% Tilt 2.3%
6379º General ELO ranking 3857º
275º Country ELO ranking 127º
ELO win probability
22.3%
Gloucester City
24.7%
Draw
53%
Alfreton Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
Gloucester City
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53%
Win probability
Alfreton Town
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gloucester City
+17%
+3%
Alfreton Town

Points and table prediction

Gloucester City
Their league position
Alfreton Town
CURR.POS.
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
19º
23º
23º
80
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tamworth
96
96
100%
Scunthorpe United
88
88
100%
Brackley Town
85
85
100%
Chorley
83
83
100%
Alfreton Town
80
80
100%
Boston United
75
75
100%
Curzon Ashton
75
75
100%
South Shields
74
74
100%
Spennymoor Town
74
74
100%
Chester
10º
69
69
10º
100%
Hereford
11º
69
69
11º
100%
Warrington Town
12º
64
64
12º
100%
Scarborough Athletic
13º
64
64
13º
100%
Buxton
14º
62
62
14º
100%
Peterborough Sports
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Southport
17º
56
56
16º
100%
Darlington FC
16º
56
56
17º
100%
Kings Lynn Town
18º
55
55
18º
100%
Rushall Olympic
19º
54
54
19º
100%
Farsley Celtic
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
50
50
21º
100%
Banbury United
22º
38
38
22º
100%
Gloucester City
23º
36
36
23º
100%
Bishops Stortford
24º
21
21
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gloucester City
Alfreton Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Gloucester City
Alfreton Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gloucester City
Gloucester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2023
SOU
Southport
2 - 1
Gloucester City
GLO
37%
25%
38%
41 39 2 0
07 Oct. 2023
GLO
Gloucester City
0 - 2
Chorley
CHO
34%
26%
40%
43 48 5 -2
23 Sep. 2023
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 1
Gloucester City
GLO
42%
25%
33%
42 42 0 +1
16 Sep. 2023
GLO
Gloucester City
0 - 3
AFC Totton
AFT
40%
24%
36%
44 44 0 -2
09 Sep. 2023
GLO
Gloucester City
0 - 1
Farsley Celtic
FAR
47%
24%
29%
45 44 1 -1

Matches

Alfreton Town
Alfreton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2023
ALF
Alfreton Town
3 - 1
Macclesfield Town
MAC
30%
24%
47%
49 53 4 0
07 Oct. 2023
ALF
Alfreton Town
1 - 1
Warrington Town
WAR
49%
25%
26%
49 48 1 0
30 Sep. 2023
ALF
Alfreton Town
1 - 0
AFC Emley
AFC
59%
21%
20%
49 43 6 0
23 Sep. 2023
BLY
Blyth Spartans
1 - 3
Alfreton Town
ALF
48%
25%
27%
48 47 1 +1
16 Sep. 2023
CLE
Cleethorpes Town
2 - 4
Alfreton Town
ALF
13%
22%
65%
47 28 19 +1
X