Gloucester City vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HAL
0 - 1
GLO
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 1
TOW
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 1
GLO
37%
24%
40%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 3
UNM
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 3
BRA
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 0
BOS
49%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 1
UNM
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
KID
3 - 0
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 0
HAL
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 1
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |