FC Buzău vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
16º
16º
12
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 54 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 48 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 45 |
3º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 45 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 44 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 42 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 42 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 42 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 39 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 38 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 35 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 28 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 27 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Buzău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
3 - 3
GLO
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 0
GAL
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
GLO
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AFU
1 - 1
GLO
38%
23%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 2
UCL
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
SSG
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
SFC
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 3
CLU
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
SFC
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 2
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |