UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 2-3
ACF Gloria Bistrita vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACF Gloria Bistrita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 1
BRI
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
BRI
5 - 2
BAN
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
BAN
0 - 1
BRI
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
UTA
6 - 0
BRI
33%
27%
39%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BRI
3 - 0
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 1
BRI
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BRE
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 0
ACM
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 0
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |