Globo vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
78%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GLO
3 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
OPE
0 - 1
GLO
61%
22%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 5
OPE
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
SDJ
39%
26%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
FLU
42%
27%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PPE
2 - 3
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
CRZ
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
VIT
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |