Globo vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
GLO
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
GLO
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GLO
0 - 2
POT
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
GLO
0 - 2
VIT
6%
15%
79%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 2
FEL
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
FEL
3 - 1
BAR
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
FEL
1 - 4
ABC
7%
13%
80%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
POT
1 - 0
FEL
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
FEL
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |