Globo vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
COR
2 - 2
GLO
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
GLO
75%
16%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 2
BAH
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GLO
3 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
GLO
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
FEL
1 - 2
SAN
41%
25%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FEL
0 - 1
BAR
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
5 - 1
FEL
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POT
3 - 2
FEL
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
FEL
0 - 1
ABC
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |