Globo vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GLO
3 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
GLO
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GLO
3 - 0
ALE
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 0
CRB
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
GLO
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CRB
3 - 3
BAH
21%
25%
53%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 1
JEC
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
CAM
69%
21%
10%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
BAH
12%
22%
65%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
SHA
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |