Potiguar Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Globo vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
GLO
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
3 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 0
ABC
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 1
GLO
83%
12%
6%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
GLO
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 3
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
COR
0 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |