Globo vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
67.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 0
GLO
83%
13%
5%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -3 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
GLO
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
ACD
4 - 0
GLO
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 3
SPC
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 0
GLO
83%
13%
5%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ACD
0 - 1
ARN
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 0
ACD
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 0
ARN
30%
31%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |