Globo vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
GLO
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GLO
3 - 0
ALE
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
GLO
0 - 0
CAM
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
GLO
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 1
BOT
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ARN
0 - 1
ABC
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 0
POT
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
ARN
17%
23%
61%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
REM
0 - 0
ARN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |