Globo vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 0
CRB
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
GLO
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
JAC
0 - 2
GLO
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 3
JAC
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 0
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 1
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
ALE
3 - 2
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GLO
0 - 1
ALE
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
ABC
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +2 |