Potiguar Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Globo vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 5
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
GLO
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
POT
0 - 1
GLO
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
ARN
18%
20%
62%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 3
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 1
ABC
25%
26%
50%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
CRB
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
5 - 1
POT
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
3 - 0
ITA
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |