Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
6º
4º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
GLE
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
LAR
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MOY
0 - 2
GLE
10%
17%
73%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
GLE
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
ARD
33%
22%
45%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
DUN
25%
23%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
NEW
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |