Champions League Last 16
Global 2-3
Glentoran vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
CSK
2 - 0
GLE
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
GLE
4 - 0
PRO
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
PRO
1 - 1
GLE
53%
21%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
GLE
1 - 1
IBV
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1978 |
IBV
0 - 0
GLE
66%
17%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
SLI
0 - 2
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
CSK
0 - 1
SSO
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
CSK
2 - 0
GLE
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
BOT
0 - 2
CSK
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
CSK
2 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |