Glentoran vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
2º
6º
2º
68
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
71 | 8 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 7 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 6 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
68 | 3 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 2 |
6º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
55.5% | 60% |
|
Play-offs
|
44.5% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
GLE
41%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
5 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 4
GLE
17%
24%
60%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 0
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
CLI
0 - 2
LAR
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
9%
21%
70%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |