Champions League 1/16
Global 1-1
Glentoran vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
55.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
GLA
4 - 0
GLE
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1966 |
GLE
1 - 1
GLA
32%
22%
45%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
GLE
3 - 3
ANT
42%
21%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1965 |
ANT
1 - 0
GLE
57%
20%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
PAN
3 - 2
GLE
65%
17%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 1
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
ACA
2 - 0
SLB
34%
22%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
BMA
0 - 9
SLB
8%
14%
79%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |