Europa League 1/32
Global 3-5
Glentoran vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
AJA
8 - 0
GLE
95%
4%
1%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
GLE
1 - 6
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
MON
5 - 0
GLE
96%
3%
1%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1974 |
GLE
0 - 2
MON
9%
16%
75%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
GLE
3 - 1
BBS
45%
22%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 4
YOB
54%
20%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
6 - 1
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
LAU
0 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 1
CSC
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +2 |