Glentoran vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
7º
4º
19
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 3
GLE
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 3
LOU
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 0
GLE
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 0
BAL
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
CRU
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |