Glentoran vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 1
GLE
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 1
GLE
17%
21%
63%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 2
WAR
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 1
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
ARC
6 - 0
KRF
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AUN
0 - 3
ARC
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 1
GLE
17%
21%
63%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 0
SYL
79%
14%
8%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 1
ARD
53%
22%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |