Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
3º
1º
31
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 7
GLE
7%
12%
81%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 0
DEV
16%
20%
64%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +5 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
GLE
5 - 2
CZF
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 7
GLE
60%
18%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 2
GLE
73%
15%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 1
ROF
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 2
SOU
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +5 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 0
LUS
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CZF
1 - 1
LAU
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 3
KIN
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |