Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
5º
3º
55
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
4 - 0
CZF
80%
12%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
KIN
2 - 0
GLE
35%
21%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
SOU
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 0
ROF
89%
8%
2%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 1
GLE
9%
14%
77%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KIN
4 - 3
DEV
13%
17%
71%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 0
SOU
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 5
DEV
4%
10%
86%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ROF
0 - 6
DEV
5%
11%
84%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 1
DEV
6%
13%
81%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |