Glenavon vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
GLE
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
KNO
0 - 4
GLE
7%
13%
81%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
BAL
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 4
GLE
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
POR
46%
24%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
POR
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 1
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
POR
26%
25%
50%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
POR
4 - 2
ARD
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |