Glenavon vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
22
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
GLE
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
19%
24%
58%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 2
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
CAR
33%
26%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BAL
23%
25%
53%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
5 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |