Glenavon vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 2
GLE
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
GLE
5 - 0
CLI
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GLE
4 - 0
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
45%
24%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CLI
2 - 3
GLE
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GLE
0 - 0
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CLI
4 - 0
POR
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 0
POR
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
POR
28%
23%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |