Glenavon vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
7º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
GLE
14%
19%
67%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
HAR
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
GLE
23%
22%
55%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
NEW
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |