Glenavon vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 3
GLE
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
RAI
3 - 1
GLE
23%
20%
57%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
LAR
6 - 0
GLE
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
LIN
7 - 0
GLE
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GLE
3 - 1
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PSN
1 - 6
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
5 - 1
ARD
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
NEW
5 - 1
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
QUB
1 - 3
NEW
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |