Glenavon vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 2
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
GLE
9%
17%
74%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 6
GLE
17%
21%
61%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 0
DUN
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 1
NEW
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 0
LOU
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 2
POR
48%
23%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
ARF
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
DER
1 - 5
LOU
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |