Glenavon vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
9º
78
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 1
GLE
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
GLE
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
COL
30%
26%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 1
GLE
21%
20%
59%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 3
GLE
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LIN
4 - 3
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 2
LIN
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
4 - 0
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LIN
4 - 0
BAL
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 2
LAR
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |