Glenavon vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 1
GLE
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
3 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
52%
23%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CLI
3 - 1
GLE
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 0
CLI
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 4
LIN
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
LCE
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |