Glenavon vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
10º
12º
10º
5
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 59 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 59 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 53 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 51 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 50 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 49 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 35 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 35 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 35 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 27 |
12º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
7.5% | 61% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
92.5% | 39% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 2
LOU
36%
26%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 1
GLE
31%
25%
43%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
GLE
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 1
LAR
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
BAL
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
LAR
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LAR
3 - 1
LRI
39%
22%
40%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LRI
2 - 1
LAR
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |