Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-4
Glenavon vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1990 |
GIR
2 - 0
GLE
83%
11%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
GLE
0 - 0
GIR
17%
27%
56%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
AGF
3 - 1
GLE
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
GLE
1 - 4
AGF
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
SDL
1 - 0
GLE
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +4 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
ILV
2 - 0
GLA
15%
21%
64%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
GLA
4 - 0
ILV
87%
9%
4%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
JUV
2 - 1
ILV
93%
5%
2%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
ILV
0 - 4
JUV
15%
24%
61%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
FEY
4 - 2
ILV
92%
6%
2%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |