Glenavon vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
GLE
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
GLE
2 - 2
GLE
23%
25%
53%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 1
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 2
HAR
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
LOU
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KNO
0 - 2
HAR
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
LCE
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AUN
1 - 4
HAR
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |