Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
9º
32
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
GLE
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 1
GLE
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
21%
24%
56%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
COL
4 - 1
GLE
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 1
DER
71%
17%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 4
CRU
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 0
LAR
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CLI
5 - 0
DUN
77%
16%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
NEY
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |