Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 2
GLE
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
37%
24%
39%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 4
GLE
26%
22%
52%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 3
FHH
29%
22%
50%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
FHH
3 - 0
GLE
73%
17%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
DUN
62%
20%
17%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARD
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |