Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 1
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GLE
5 - 1
HAR
69%
18%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
DON
1 - 0
GLE
28%
24%
49%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 0
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIS
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 0
DUN
83%
13%
5%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |