Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 0
GLE
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
CLI
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
CLI
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 2
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 3
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 2
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
DUN
72%
19%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 5
GLE
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |