Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
4 - 0
DON
56%
22%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 4
GLE
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LIS
3 - 3
GLE
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 5
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
DON
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 2
LIS
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 4
BAL
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
CRU
19%
21%
61%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |