Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 0
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GLE
3 - 3
BAL
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 1
POR
26%
23%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 3
GLE
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
LIN
4 - 1
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 0
GLE
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LIN
4 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
INS
2 - 0
DUN
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |