Glenavon vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
GLE
2 - 2
GLE
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 6
GLE
36%
24%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
GLE
6 - 2
BAL
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 3
GLE
31%
25%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 4
GLE
11%
16%
74%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
DON
6 - 2
TOB
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SYL
2 - 1
DON
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
DON
1 - 4
DUN
50%
22%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LIM
2 - 0
DON
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
DON
2 - 0
BAN
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |