Glenavon vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 1
COL
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIN
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 1
GLE
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
6 - 0
DER
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DER
2 - 1
TOB
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
INS
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 4
DER
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
DER
2 - 1
NEW
42%
24%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |