Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
7º
62
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
HAR
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
GLE
23%
22%
55%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CLI
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
17%
21%
62%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 2
CRU
17%
19%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 0
CRU
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 0
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |