Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
7º
62
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
HAR
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
GLE
23%
22%
55%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CLI
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 2
CRU
17%
19%
64%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 0
CRU
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 0
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |